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Canal+: VAT, a new threat to subscriptions

Canal+ is France’s leading pay TV operator and a major audiovisual player.

Analysis

The government is considering doubling the VAT rate on TV subscriptions, with a quadrupling announced overseas. Canal+ warns of the impact on revenue. The case illustrates political and fiscal risk: with public finances under strain, tax revenue is sought everywhere.

Opportunity

The opportunity would be a watering down of the plan, or partial pass through to customers without too much churn. The risk is weaker demand and stronger competition from global platforms.

Investor outlook

Negative outlook until the plan is clarified. Regulatory uncertainty weighs on visibility, and the parliamentary calendar will be key.

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