???? Bitcoin (BTC) remains the flagship cryptocurrency and a benchmark for the entire crypto market. This week, it has fallen below $100,000, dragging Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and other digital assets down with it. The volatility of cryptocurrencies highlights their high sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions, Federal Reserve decisions, and overall market risk appetite, with the Nasdaq often serving as a reference.
The market has lost nearly $400 billion in capitalization, confirming that cryptos remain highly correlated with tech stocks and extremely sensitive to liquidity flows and the behavior of long-term investors (“early adopters”).
???? Current Economic Environment
Bitcoin
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Recent correction: BTC has dropped nearly 20% from its all-time high of over $126,000 on October 6, 2025, briefly falling below $100,000; its lowest level in six months.
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Selling pressure: Large sales by long-term investors and liquidation of leveraged positions have amplified the decline.
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Fragile technical support: Levels at $117,000 and $112,000 failed to hold, increasing the risk of further decline.
Negative Factors
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Withdrawal of marginal buyers and declining investor conviction.
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Strengthening U.S. dollar, reducing crypto appeal.
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Potential fund adjustments through ETFs.
Potential Positive Factors
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A Federal Reserve rate cut in December.
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More accommodative Fed leadership after Jerome Powell’s term ends.
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U.S. government reopening, which could inject liquidity into markets.
???? Investment Recommendation
Investment Thesis
Bitcoin remains a volatile but strategic asset for investors seeking exposure to cryptocurrencies and macro-financial trends. Caution is advised, and risk management is essential in the current bearish context.
Why Invest in Bitcoin
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Exposure to the reference crypto: BTC leads the market and influences other cryptos.
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Alternative diversification: Offers a different correlation compared to traditional equities over the long term.
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Rebound potential: Rate cuts or liquidity measures could reignite the market.
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Growing adoption: ETFs and institutional investors continue to support BTC’s legitimacy and liquidity.
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High return potential: Despite volatility, rapid reversals offer opportunities for informed investors.
Risks to Monitor
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Continued decline if technical supports fail.
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High sensitivity to Fed decisions and the U.S. dollar.
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Increased volatility in risk-off environments.
Recommendation
Strategic / Opportunistic — Short to Medium Term
→ Suitable for investors with high risk tolerance and a flexible horizon, capable of managing macroeconomic and technical risks.