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The past week offered a stark reminder that global markets remain governed less by earnings and more by geopolitics. The brief but violent spike in oil, more than 10% intraday before reversing,...
Markets whipsaw as geopolitics reasserts control
Global agriculture at a breaking point as the Middle East conflict exposes structural fragilities For months, markets have focused on the immediate fallout of the Middle East conflict: oil prices,...
Global agriculture at a breaking point
Speed read: Central banks are becoming geopolitical actors as the global monetary order fragments. China challenges the dollar system while remaining dependent on Western demand and technology....
The new frontier of economic power
Capital is never neutral Financial markets like to present themselves as realms governed by rationality. Investors are portrayed as methodical calculators, weighing risk and return through...
Markets have a memory
For the better part of three decades, policymakers and corporate leaders have treated efficiency as the organizing principle of the global economy. Supply chains were trimmed to the bone, inventories...
The hidden cost of efficiency: How hyper optimization made the global economy fragile
Energy
The oil market has experienced a week of extreme volatility. After starting with a decline in prices, as investors hoped for a de‑escalation in the conflict involving Iran, Brent and WTI had...
Oil: a market held hostage by geopolitics and presidential rhetoric
The oil market is navigating an environment of extreme nervousness. Despite Donald Trump’s decision to postpone a potential military strike on Iranian energy infrastructure by ten days, crude...
Oil: A fragile diplomatic pause fails to calm a market on edge
Global oil markets endured another week of acute stress as military tensions in the Middle East intensified. Israel’s strike on Iran’s South Pars gas field, which accounts for 70% of...
Energy markets reel as Middle East escalation fractures global supply routes
Global energy markets have entered a phase of acute tension as geopolitical instability in the Middle East disrupts one of the world’s most critical oil chokepoints: the Strait of Hormuz. Brent...
Oil Markets on edge: strait of hormuz disruption pushes brent sbove $100 and teignites global inflation risks
The energy market is experiencing a phase of extreme tension, driven by the blockage of oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most strategic arteries of global trade. This logistical...
Ormuz Blockage Reignites the Oil Price Surge
Precious Metals
Industrial and precious metals have experienced an unusually intense week. In London, aluminium prices climbed above USD 3,500 per tonne, driven by a dual disruption: the closure of the Strait of...
Metals: a market stretched between geopolitical chokepoints and monetary-policy arbitrage
The metals market is entering a paradoxical phase. Despite ongoing geopolitical frictions, which would normally support safe‑haven assets, gold is losing ground, falling back below USD 4,500 per...
Metals: Inflation fears weigh on gold and drag down industrial prices
A broad retreat across precious and industrial metals Metals markets weakened sharply this week, defying expectations that rising geopolitical tensions would support safe‑haven assets. Gold,...
Metals slide as inflation fears and a stronger dollar outweigh geopolitical tensions
The precious and base metals market plays a central role in the global economy and in investment portfolios. Precious metals, such as gold and silver, have historically been used as safe-haven assets...
Metals: Gold and Silver Surge, Copper Hits New Records
The precious and industrial metals market is currently experiencing exceptional dynamics: Silver has crossed the USD 60/oz mark, reaching USD 64.4/oz, with an increase of approximately...
Precious and Industrial Metals: Silver and Copper Boosted by Tight Supply and Global Demand
TopDown-View
It was a short week, but one marked by remarkable volatility. Financial markets continue to swing in response to the U.S. President’s alternating warm‑and‑cold rhetoric, depending on his...
Financial Markets: a fragile calm in a cycle dictated by Ormuz and Washington
Diplomatic signals between the United States and Iran remain far too weak to suggest any meaningful progress toward an agreement. Public statements have replaced substantive negotiations, while...
Macro: Stalled diplomacy pushes markets back into uncertainty
Global equities ended the week in a fragmented pattern, marked by a decisive shift toward defensive sectors and a widening divergence between major economic regions. Investors, confronted with...
Defensive rotation deepens as macro divergence reshapes global equity strategies
Investors face a landscape with no clear anchors Global markets enter the week with little in the way of guidance. The latest round of central‑bank meetings has done little to clarify the policy...
Global macro outlook darkens as energy shock collides with monetary paralysis
By the standards of recent months, the global macro narrative had settled into a comfortable rhythm. Inflation was easing, central banks were preparing, cautiously, to begin cutting interest...