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The AI Cycle Is Not Breaking, the Valuation Regime Is Changing A Market Still Driven by Investment The AI investment cycle remains intact. Oracle’s $664 billion backlog is particularly...
The AI Cycle Is Not Breaking, the Valuation Regime Is Changing
The global equity landscape heads into next week with a mildly bullish bias, but one that is increasingly selective. The macro backdrop will be dominated by Friday’s US jobs report, the single...
Next week: selective bullishness as macro, AI expectations and regional valuations collide
A Market Driven by Three Forces Global equity markets are entering next week caught between three powerful forces: the continued strength of corporate earnings, the structural investment cycle...
The Market at a Crossroads: AI, Oil and the Return of the Bond Market
When Technology Outruns Geopolitics: The Hidden Cost for Organizations The past year has been defined by a paradox that continues to puzzle analysts and central bankers alike:...
When Technology Outruns Geopolitics: The Hidden Cost for Organizations
Clarity as a Prerequisite for Decision-Making In the world of investing, the quality of a decision rarely depends on a flash of genius. It rests on something far more discreet: the...
Why visual clarity improves performance
Energy
Oil Above $100: The Return of Stagflation Risk An energy shock that is now extending beyond the oil market The week was dominated by a move that markets had gradually stopped treating as a central...
Oil Above $100: The Return of Stagflation Risk
Oil markets ended a three-week rebound, though without returning to levels that would ease inflationary concerns. Brent fell 5 % over the week to trade around 89 USD, yet remains up 45 % since the...
Oil: a technical pullback that fails to ease tensions or inflationary pressure
Energy Becomes the Missing Variable Energy has become one of the most important variables in the global investment equation. The prolonged conflict in the Middle East and the continuing disruption to...
The Energy Shock Returns: Why Oil, LNG and Hormuz Could Redefine the Investment Landscape
Oil experienced a two-phase week shaped by developments around the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most strategic chokepoints in global energy trade. Early in the week, Brent prices fell by roughly 11...
Oil, between diplomatic hopes and renewed tensions
The oil market is entering a consolidation phase after a sharp ten-dollar decline this week, with Brent now stabilizing around 90 USD per barrel. This apparent calm hides a more complex reality:...
Energy caught between price consolidation and persistent geopolitical tensions
Precious Metals
Gold and copper delivered a contrasting picture this week, highlighting the underlying tensions across the metals market. Gold remains stable around 4,600 USD per ounce after its recent breakout,...
Metals: a tense market where gold steadies as copper continues its climb
Precious Metals Become Strategic Assets Again Precious metals are entering a new phase in which their investment relevance...
Beyond Gold: Precious Metals Enter a New Investment Regime
Gold and silver delivered a remarkable performance this week, benefiting from a macroeconomic environment that has revived their status as safe-haven assets. The decline of the dollar, driven by...
The return of precious metals
The metals market is moving this week within an environment dominated by US macroeconomic signals and Asian industrial momentum. Gold, traditionally a barometer of risk aversion, remains primarily...
Metals: shaped by monetary tensions and strong Chinese industrial demand
Gold has gone through a difficult week, marked by a decline of around 3%, its sharpest weekly drop in six weeks. Despite a slight rebound at the end of the period around 4,000 USD per ounce, the...
Metals under pressure, between inflation, geopolitical tensions and Chinese fragility
TopDown-View
The Return of the Price of Money For several months, markets had built a relatively comfortable scenario: inflation was expected to gradually return toward central bank targets, allowing interest...
The Price of Money Is Rising: Markets Enter a New Monetary Era
Kevin Warsh’s first major address at Jackson Hole was one of the most anticipated events of the summer for financial markets. Since the beginning of his term, his silence on the direction of...
Jackson Hole: Warsh reignites the prospect of another rate hike
A Market Entering a New Monetary Regime Global markets are approaching one of the most consequential weeks of the summer with a very different monetary-policy narrative from the one that dominated...
From Fed Cuts to Fiscal Credibility: The Market Enters a New Monetary Regime
The market has entered a new phase, one where headline strength masks a growing divergence beneath the surface. The S&P 500 continues to set fresh records, supported by an exceptional earnings...
Market Outlook, when a bullish tape hides a deep split inside the AI trade
US macroeconomic data delivered an unexpected shock in July, breaking sharply with the positive surprises of recent months. Economists expected 80,000 job creations, yet the economy shed 23,000...