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Cryptocurrencies: Caution Despite Positive Regulatory Signals

The cryptocurrency market includes digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP, which serve as a store of value, medium of exchange, and infrastructure for decentralized applications.

These assets operate in a highly volatile environment, influenced by regulation, institutional adoption, technological innovation, and overall investor sentiment. Cryptocurrencies are now closely monitored by U.S. and international authorities, which directly affects market confidence and liquidity.

📊 Current economic environment

📉 Recent Market Performance

  • Bitcoin (BTC): around USD 88,000, stable this week but down -5.5% in 2025, after strong gains of 120% in 2024 and 155.8% in 2023.

  • Ethereum (ETH): below USD 3,000, down -3%.

  • Solana (SOL): around USD 125, down -2.6%.

  • XRP (XRP): USD 1.87, down -5.8%.

Outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs are observed, with total assets under management at USD 111 billion, down from USD 164 billion in October, indicating a gradual short-term withdrawal of institutional investors.

⚖️ Positive Regulatory Signals

The U.S. Senate confirmed Michael Selig as head of the CFTC, the regulator of derivatives and commodities markets, including Bitcoin.

  • His profile is favorable to cryptocurrencies: he previously worked for the SEC Crypto Task Force and has expressed a goal to make the U.S. “the global capital of cryptocurrencies.”

  • This is a positive signal for the regulatory framework and could support institutional adoption in the medium term.

🔄 Market Outlook

Despite this regulatory confirmation, market dynamics remain cautious: prices are stable, but ETF outflows indicate that investor confidence has not fully returned.

📈 Investment Recommendation

Why Consider Holding Cryptocurrencies?

  1. Long-term growth potential
    Bitcoin and Ethereum remain benchmark assets with strong historical returns and growing institutional interest.

  2. Regulatory clarity emerging
    Michael Selig’s appointment at the CFTC could strengthen legal stability and support medium-term institutional adoption.

  3. Portfolio diversification
    Cryptocurrencies provide an alternative asset class, complementing equities, bonds, and commodities in a diversified portfolio.

  4. Opportunity from volatility
    Temporary outflows and price drops may provide attractive entry points for long-term investors.

Risks to Consider

  • Extreme volatility and unpredictable price swings.

  • Dependence on regulatory and political decisions.

  • Risks from technological innovation and cybersecurity threats.

  • Investor sentiment and capital flows are highly unstable.

📌 Verdict

👉 Cryptocurrencies remain high-potential but highly volatile assets. The confirmation of a crypto-friendly regulator in the U.S. is a positive long-term signal, but the market shows caution in the short term. Measured exposure, particularly to Bitcoin and Ethereum, may be attractive for investors with long-term horizons and tolerance for volatility.