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The Battlefield for Next Week’s Market The broader equity market currently presents a facade of index-level stability that conceals significant dynamic underlying activity. As central bank...
Can AI Momentum Overcome 5% Yields and $100 Oil?
The AI Cycle Is Not Breaking, the Valuation Regime Is Changing A Market Still Driven by Investment The AI investment cycle remains intact. Oracle’s $664 billion backlog is particularly...
The AI Cycle Is Not Breaking, the Valuation Regime Is Changing
The global equity landscape heads into next week with a mildly bullish bias, but one that is increasingly selective. The macro backdrop will be dominated by Friday’s US jobs report, the single...
Next week: selective bullishness as macro, AI expectations and regional valuations collide
A Market Driven by Three Forces Global equity markets are entering next week caught between three powerful forces: the continued strength of corporate earnings, the structural investment cycle...
The Market at a Crossroads: AI, Oil and the Return of the Bond Market
When Technology Outruns Geopolitics: The Hidden Cost for Organizations The past year has been defined by a paradox that continues to puzzle analysts and central bankers alike:...
When Technology Outruns Geopolitics: The Hidden Cost for Organizations
Energy
Oil remains the asset that conditions inflation, corporate margins and the geopolitics of energy.AnalysisThe week ended lower on rumours of a massive release of European crude and diesel stocks via...
Oil: supply reshuffles, the strategic stocks threat
Energy and precious metals markets are experiencing a phase of heightened volatility driven by the combined effects of geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures. Brent crude and precious metals...
Oil and precious metals: Middle East tensions and inflation fears rattle commodity markets
Oil Above $100: The Return of Stagflation Risk An energy shock that is now extending beyond the oil market The week was dominated by a move that markets had gradually stopped treating as a central...
Oil Above $100: The Return of Stagflation Risk
Oil markets ended a three-week rebound, though without returning to levels that would ease inflationary concerns. Brent fell 5 % over the week to trade around 89 USD, yet remains up 45 % since the...
Oil: a technical pullback that fails to ease tensions or inflationary pressure
Energy Becomes the Missing Variable Energy has become one of the most important variables in the global investment equation. The prolonged conflict in the Middle East and the continuing disruption to...
The Energy Shock Returns: Why Oil, LNG and Hormuz Could Redefine the Investment Landscape
Precious Metals
Precious metals pay no yield and therefore react strongly to real rates and the dollar.AnalysisGold and silver fell this week, as did platinum and palladium. Rising yields and a stronger dollar hit...
Precious metals: a pause, not a turn
Commodity markets had a mixed week, torn between geopolitical supply-side tensions in oil and adjustments in precious and industrial metals. Analysis Brent rose to $105/bbl on Middle East supply...
Commodities: Oil Torn Between Geopolitical Risk and Export Curbs
Gold and silver represent the two historical pillars of precious metals in global commodity markets. Used as a store of value, monetary hedging instruments, and strategic industrial components, both...
Gold and Silver: Precious Metals Surge Driven by a Weaker Dollar and Safe-Haven Demand
Gold and copper delivered a contrasting picture this week, highlighting the underlying tensions across the metals market. Gold remains stable around 4,600 USD per ounce after its recent breakout,...
Metals: a tense market where gold steadies as copper continues its climb
Precious Metals Become Strategic Assets Again Precious metals are entering a new phase in which their investment relevance...
Beyond Gold: Precious Metals Enter a New Investment Regime
TopDown-View
The coming week will be dominated by three forces: rates, corporate earnings and oil.AnalysisIn the US, weak job creation eases immediate pressure on the Fed, but inflation remains the constraint....
Next week: rates first, earnings second
The US central bank sets the global cost of capital. Since its mid September meeting its message had been read as hawkish.AnalysisMarkets were pricing two hikes by year end. But John Williams and...
Fed: the doves speak up again
The global macroeconomic environment and central bank policies form the fundamental bedrock upon which all financial and commodity markets rest. Benchmark interest rates set by institutions like the...
Global Monetary Tightening: Central Banks Tackle Inflation Amid Geopolitical Shocks
The Return of the Price of Money For several months, markets had built a relatively comfortable scenario: inflation was expected to gradually return toward central bank targets, allowing interest...
The Price of Money Is Rising: Markets Enter a New Monetary Era
Kevin Warsh’s first major address at Jackson Hole was one of the most anticipated events of the summer for financial markets. Since the beginning of his term, his silence on the direction of...
Jackson Hole: Warsh reignites the prospect of another rate hike
DISRUPTION AS OPPORTUNITY
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Past performance is not indicative of future results. This report presents historical data for the stated strategy, timeframe, and risk profile and reflects holdings as of the publication date; portfolio changes may have occurred since. Information is based on end-of-day data from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Prices reflect market values at the date of publication or the latest available data.
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